This post contains ‘doom quotes’ posted to my Bluesky account in January, 2025. Please follow me on Bluesky for more daily ‘doom quotes.’ Thanks! JANUARY, 2025 January 31, 2025 “What they said was that climate change would increase the rate of extinction under every single scenario.” Climate-Driven Extinction, Climate Emergency Forum January 30, 2025 “I picked the wrong week to […]
I’ve been seeing “25 billion Hiroshima bombs worth of heating” in the media for well over a year now. This number is supposed to represent a way to help the average person visualize the total amount of heating of the planet caused by GHGs since 1971. And it’s wrong, wrong, very wrong! In this article I’m going to explain why […]
So, you’re at the water cooler hanging out with your work colleague, and the topic of global warming comes up. The two of you are getting an urge to make a friendly bet with each other, but you can’t decide what to bet on. Betting on the end of the world means placing an Over/Under bet on some statistic having […]
*Note. This essay was written by GPT o1, with the help of Ruben Schaer based on the prompt: “Write a dystopian essay predicting events in 2025 using this list as a guideline for your predictions: https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/“ I edited the text in parts, removed several referenced to ‘hope’ and changed 2025 to 2035, because, well, things are just not as bad […]
To lead off this post I will share an email I received from Sam Mitchell of Collapse Chronicles. Sam wrote to me mid-December, saying he would not be doing our annual January prediction show for this coming year. Instead, Sam asked that I share his one singular prediction for 2025. Here it is: “The only prediction you need to know […]
For about the last two years I have been making daily posts on social media that include a daily “moment of doom” and a daily “doom quote.” The moment of doom usually comes from Google’s news feed, after I do a search on a variety of word combinations, beginning with “climate doom,” followed by “climate ocean,” “climate atmosphere,” “climate extinction” […]
I was thrilled to be invited to present at December’s MEERTalk this year. I’ve known about MEER for years. They are smart folks, grounded in functional science, who are already doing good work around the world. If you don’t know who they are, or want to find out more, please visit their website by clicking HERE. They allowed me to […]
My fourth appearance on ‘Santa Barbara Talks’ with Josh Molina. We started off talking about the upcoming presidential election, including the good and bad about Harris, everything bad about Trump and a shout-out to third-party candidate Jill Stein. We then took many twists and turns, including hurricanes Helene and Milton, Al Gore’s 2006 movie “Inconvenient Truth,” terraforming a different planet, […]
I was fortunate to be invited back to CNN-International to discuss all-things climate change, in the wake of hurricane Milton bearing down on Florida. Rosemary Church asked fabulous questions, but I admit, the final question was totally unexpected. My segment begins at 4:13. Enjoy!
Well, it finally happened. NOAA published an update to the AGGI (Annual Greenhouse Gas Index), including their best estimate of CO2e, as of 2023. And without postponing the reveal one moment longer, their value was CO2e = 534 ppm. And, drum roll, the value I posted in my article on CO2e was 532 ppm. I’m going to count this as […]
The latest update to my “Canary in the Coal Mine” video, now including 2024.
A deep conversation discussing a bit of paleoclimatology, the current state of the planet and what it would take for humanity to save itself and how that just isn’t going to happen.
If a calculation is correct, then all roads should lead to the same answer. That is, unless the road is a ditch, a dead-end or a cliff. And so, let us begin our pothole-filled journey together on the road to computing the current value of CO2e, otherwise known as CO2-equivalent, the current atmospheric level of the totality of greenhouse gasses, […]
Please enjoy the latest update to my “Windows of Opportunity” video, now including 2023 & 2024. And, in case you missed it, here is a link to my essay “The Steel Door of Doom is Welded Shut.”
Surprise! CNN International invited me back for my third appearance, which was taped last night. The journalist doing the interview was Anna Coren. I was overjoyed to say “yes.” In the 8 hours leading up to the interview, I watched previous climate change reporting by Coren and I was very impressed. I made some notes, but eventually just decided it […]
You’ve got to know which side I’m on. I’m an old-school environmentalist, coming of age in the late 1960’s and early 1970’s. More environmental f&%kery happened during my youth and more meaningful environmental policy was enacted in my youth than at any time or any place in modern industrial civilization’s history. When I hear the youth of today complain about […]
Appreciated how this article was structured to walk through and eliminate the simple answers before getting to the tricky ones.…
An interesting read, especially when read in conjunction with your previous essay on Hope. Basing our understanding of the concept…
The punctuation makes a difference. That didn't sound correct, so I checked. The actual quotation begins : " Hope, in…
Thank you very much for your suggestions, Prof. Jacobson! I appreciate them very much and will start to check some…
Thanks so much for the typo catches!
Racing To Extinction by Lyle Lewis.
Hi Scott Excellent article thanks. The descent from hopium into hope porn seems to be one more example of things…
There is a lot of research on how various feedbacks influence the hydroxyl concentration. I recommend an AI search.