I’ve been seeing “25 billion Hiroshima bombs worth of heating” in the media for well over a year now. This number is supposed to represent a way to help the average person visualize the total amount of heating of the planet caused by GHGs since 1971. And it’s wrong, wrong, very wrong! In this article I’m going to explain why […]
So, you’re at the water cooler hanging out with your work colleague, and the topic of global warming comes up. The two of you are getting an urge to make a friendly bet with each other, but you can’t decide what to bet on. Betting on the end of the world means placing an Over/Under bet on some statistic having […]
*Note. This essay was written by GPT o1, with the help of Ruben Schaer based on the prompt: “Write a dystopian essay predicting events in 2025 using this list as a guideline for your predictions: https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/“ I edited the text in parts, removed several referenced to ‘hope’ and changed 2025 to 2035, because, well, things are just not as bad […]
To lead off this post I will share an email I received from Sam Mitchell of Collapse Chronicles. Sam wrote to me mid-December, saying he would not be doing our annual January prediction show for this coming year. Instead, Sam asked that I share his one singular prediction for 2025. Here it is: “The only prediction you need to know […]
For about the last two years I have been making daily posts on social media that include a daily “moment of doom” and a daily “doom quote.” The moment of doom usually comes from Google’s news feed, after I do a search on a variety of word combinations, beginning with “climate doom,” followed by “climate ocean,” “climate atmosphere,” “climate extinction” […]
I was thrilled to be invited to present at December’s MEERTalk this year. I’ve known about MEER for years. They are smart folks, grounded in functional science, who are already doing good work around the world. If you don’t know who they are, or want to find out more, please visit their website by clicking HERE. They allowed me to […]
My fourth appearance on ‘Santa Barbara Talks’ with Josh Molina. We started off talking about the upcoming presidential election, including the good and bad about Harris, everything bad about Trump and a shout-out to third-party candidate Jill Stein. We then took many twists and turns, including hurricanes Helene and Milton, Al Gore’s 2006 movie “Inconvenient Truth,” terraforming a different planet, […]
I was fortunate to be invited back to CNN-International to discuss all-things climate change, in the wake of hurricane Milton bearing down on Florida. Rosemary Church asked fabulous questions, but I admit, the final question was totally unexpected. My segment begins at 4:13. Enjoy!
Well, it finally happened. NOAA published an update to the AGGI (Annual Greenhouse Gas Index), including their best estimate of CO2e, as of 2023. And without postponing the reveal one moment longer, their value was CO2e = 534 ppm. And, drum roll, the value I posted in my article on CO2e was 532 ppm. I’m going to count this as […]
The latest update to my “Canary in the Coal Mine” video, now including 2024.
A deep conversation discussing a bit of paleoclimatology, the current state of the planet and what it would take for humanity to save itself and how that just isn’t going to happen.
The first part of this conversation focuses on CO2-equivalent and the challenges of getting this number right. tl;dw: CO2e is somewhere in the range 530 – 540ppm. The second part is wide ranging and includes monthly global temperatures, heatwaves, 1.5°C, blue ocean event, AMOC, Antarctic and global sea-ice, and the the collapse of global industrial civilization.
If a calculation is correct, then all roads should lead to the same answer. That is, unless the road is a ditch, a dead-end or a cliff. And so, let us begin our pothole-filled journey together on the road to computing the current value of CO2e, otherwise known as CO2-equivalent, the current atmospheric level of the totality of greenhouse gasses, […]
Please enjoy the latest update to my “Windows of Opportunity” video, now including 2023 & 2024. And, in case you missed it, here is a link to my essay “The Steel Door of Doom is Welded Shut.”
Surprise! CNN International invited me back for my third appearance, which was taped last night. The journalist doing the interview was Anna Coren. I was overjoyed to say “yes.” In the 8 hours leading up to the interview, I watched previous climate change reporting by Coren and I was very impressed. I made some notes, but eventually just decided it […]
Cheers Eliot, we appreciate your rye wit alongside the increasing salinity of your arguments. Remember Nagasaki.
Truly value everything you've done, Eliot!
Thanks, Mister Jacobson. You're the best math teacher.
Thanks for the math correction, Eliot. Hopefully the mass media picks up on your work {Ain't Gonna Happen!} then relates…
Excellent response, thank you kindly for that correction. I've always felt as though it was a bit too high in…
This put me in mind of the following passage from David Mitchell's excellent novel The Bone Clocks. His character is…
Strangely, or maybe not so strangely as I identify in the “ doomer” category, I found some of this relieving.…
Hi Eliot, even trying to relate to number of Hiroshima bombs is beyond most people’s comprehension. I would find how…