Fair question. Here are all the greenhouse gases with historical concentrations and projected out until 2500. https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3571/2020/
On Being a “Doomer”
[Revised and re-posted: June 26, 2023. Apparently I lost the previous comments when I updated the post date. Sorry about that!]
Let’s start with the obvious. The word “doomer” is a word with horribly dark connotations. The obvious interpretation is that a doomer believes life is hopeless, they might as well give up trying; there is no value in being alive. But that is emphatically not the doomer’s perspective. Doomers understand that life is a terminal disease for all of us, that any objective examination of one’s life should include the inevitability of death. Yet, even with this universal existential dilemma, doomers still enjoy sunsets and friends, they work towards goals, they have families, they celebrate births and mourn deaths, and they struggle on. Most of all, doomers recognize that humanity has a collective terminal illness here and now, not at some unimagined future time.
Doomers do not believe climate change is going to end well for the natural world or for humanity. Doomers are saddened by the innumerable losses that are taking place in the natural world, including plants, animals, oceans, ice and ancient physical processes. Doomers are saddened by losing all the achievements of humanity, including art, literature, science and philosophy – the totality of humanity’s legacy. Doomers are saddened by the human suffering already taking place and the massive suffering of all species, plant and animal, that lies ahead. Doomers are saddened by the prospect of losing friends and family, what’s going to happen to those they work with, those they play with and those they love. And doomers are saddened by the shortening of their own lives, the fear that comes with having an unexpected terminal illness. In short, doomers are saddened by their profound understanding that it’s the near-term loss of everything.
Most doomers are not invested in finding the causes of the planet’s demise. Those who want to argue if our collective crisis is due to greenhouse gas emissions, capitalism, the richest 1%, overpopulation, big oil corporations, or something else are still playing the game. Those who see salvation in green technology, nuclear fusion, socialism, geo-engineering, electrifying everything, planting trees or something else are still playing the game. Engaging in blame and finger pointing creates anger and anxiety. Doomers are not looking for a fight and will deescalate when confronted.
On the other hand, doomers are curious about what the future will bring and the full scope of events to come. They want to know the consequences of climate change, what could happen, what is likely to happen, what is on the speculative bubble and they want to know an approximate time scale. The doomer is invested in education and scientific discovery and wants to follow the best road map for what will be possible and what will be necessary as the planet dies.
And doomers understand that sadness is not depression, nor is it an excuse for non-action. Doomers support education, service and environmental activism. They encourage positive and progressive action and understand that such action has positive benefits. As has been said, if environmental activism allows one butterfly to live one more day, then it is worth it. Doomers are conscious of their own actions and their impact on ecosystems and the planet.
There is another perspective that the doomer’s awareness brings. It means doomers don’t have to compete anymore. They don’t have to win. They don’t have to be right in every argument they make. The world becomes non-political. Religious beliefs lose their importance. They realize they are part of the human family on a dying planet and that everyone is experiencing a singular and tragic death together – the sixth great extinction – in their own way.
Doomers grieve. There is no linear roadmap for processing this grief, nor is there a catalog of the emotions the doomer might experience in the context of their grief. The doomer accepts the cycle and range of emotions that are theirs to bear. In my case these include denial, anxiety, sleepless nights, anger and depression. My grief has also led me to learn more about climate science, to listen to and read what the experts have to say and to engage with online communities. The doomer does their best to not judge their experience or the experience of others, but also understands that judgment is its own type of coping and relief.
And doomers believe that in this particular crisis there is an opportunity. They can use this common moment of suffering to find ways to be kind to others. They can use whatever personal abundance they might have to be generous as much as they are able. And while they still have the energy and mobility for action, they can look for ways to be of service. Volunteering is the greatest honor they can gift themselves in the limited time they have left.
Having no hope for the long-term future of human civilization smacks of cults, fringe religious beliefs and mass suicides. But this lack of hope is now mainstream. We hear and read about the reality climate change brings every day. From fires to floods to droughts to heat waves; from the Arctic ice melting to the weakening of the gulf stream to rain falling on the highest peak in Greenland to the bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef; from failing crops to the scalding alive of salmon as they attempt to swim upstream to the decimation of rainforests; from Madagascar to Lytton to Paradise, disaster is the reality on planet earth today. “Doomer” is not the right word for someone who is simply paying attention. “Doomer” is not the right word for someone who looks at the jigsaw puzzle pieces lying on the table and understands the final and inevitable picture they will become.
In these remarks I have used the word “doomer” freely to express my own philosophy about end-times in a way that many people who consider themselves to be doomers may not subscribe. I do not pretend to speak for all doomers, nor wish to constrain the beliefs and methods of other doomers to the scope of what I’ve written here. As one well-known doomer says, “If you ask 30 of us to define what it means to be a doomer, we would give 31 different answers.”
Likewise, the word “doomer” may not be the right word to describe my own perspective on life during the planet’s transition. Maybe there is no right word. Maybe there are no universals. I don’t know. But this is really hard and I am profoundly sad. We have never been here before. No one individually, no society and no other generation of humans on earth has ever had to process events of this magnitude or attempt to express thoughts like these in the context of overwhelming scientific evidence backing this view.
I am not going to propose another word to replace “doomer” in the way I’ve used it here. I don’t know a word that is more suitable. But the other way to look at this is that the word “doomer” captures all the positive perspectives that come with understanding the inevitability of death. Life is short, sadly much shorter for many than we expected it to be when we were younger. But that’s where we are. Doomer or not, whatever word makes you most comfortable, what we all can do going forward from here is to act with kindness, be as generous as we are able and find ways to be of service.
[Featured image — North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomaly, courtesy of University of Maine and climatereanalyzer.com]
39 thoughts on “On Being a “Doomer””
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I think you may be thinking of the word, “bloomer.” I am a full-fledged Doomer doing whatever I can to still getting out there and enjoying it while I still can.
Thank you for this piece. I have never actually called myself a doomer, but I see myself in nearly every aspect of what you describe in this piece.
Connecting the dots.
Feeling immensely sad.
No longer finger-pointing or fighting.
Doing regenerative agriculture and food aid deliveries where I live in Cambodia because both activities make our community better.
Intensely loving my days and those I share them with.
Thank you for your writing and caring.
David
Thanks — it is sad, and getting sadder.
Hi, I saw your thoughts on soft white underbelly. I had a general question, and maybe you can point me in the right direction.
The general vibes that I get from people is that it’s inevitable and someone should be dealing with this, and with you having a career in mathematics, is there something that people can do to help slow the climate crisis down? Let’s say hypothetically, if every person knew that planting 1 tree in their life time would slow this, would that help? I don’t know if I am a ‘doomer’ but I am a realist. I give a large portion of my time to helping people, specifically older and younger people, but the general consensus I receive, is that there is no direct direction people should do to help out. For example, electric cars, a lot of people cannot afford it, so they stay on the train bound to using all of the oil in the world, before a vast change would dictate a change in everyday routines.
I may be naive but if we could break it down to individual responsibility, we might have a chance for change.
If my comment has come off as naive or unintelligent, my apologies because that is not my intention. I just wanted to ask if there was a way we could do just 1 thing, hypothetically would it ever help? I would imagine since you do have a talent and knowledge in mathematics, if it could be possible to change 1 thing (in the beginning) to help curb the oncoming disaster that we all will face if we don’t act soon.
I really appreciate your thoughts and this is the first article I have read of yours. I will dig deeper into this and was just wondering if there is information that breaks down the responsibilities of each person, to start making a vast change.
I also can accept that this may be too little, too late. I have been noticing a huge movement in the newer generations of personal responsibility and how some people even work out of changing the planet, I believe you are correct that there has been a change in awareness. This whole pandemic has really opened a lot of people’s eyes to the fact that life should not be just work, it should be about family, nature, and balance.
I truly appreciate what you are doing to help people understand the impact and bring awareness to the human situation concerning the planet. It’s finally starting to be seen by all people and not just the scholars who study it.
Thank you so much from the bottom of my heart for speaking out. In the end, we are all humans and we are all one family. It breaks my heart to see nature being destroyed and other life on the planet sharply decrease. I am blessed to live by a forest and see deer daily, and it hurts my heart to think they might not have a home soon.
Do you think if there was an organization willing to buy up land and making it protected, would even make a dent in our situation? In my mind, and of course I could be wrong, if my fellow humans could see a plan that actually involves them, perhaps it may help? Idk, I am willing to try anything at this point, because I feel that even trying would be better than putting the blinders on and quickly descending into ignorance, to at least attempt to make a change.
Once again, thank you so much for your thoughts and knowledge. It came at just the right time, in my life, where I am increasingly concerned about the world we are leaving our children.
Sending you light and love.
Thank you for your comments and sharing your thoughts and asking some tough questions.
You ask: is there something that people can do to help slow the climate crisis down? Let’s say hypothetically, if every person knew that planting 1 tree in their life time would slow this, would that help?
Well, yes — hypothetically. We would need to roughly cover 70% of the arable farmland on the planet with trees in order to sink the excess carbon. In practice, this is not a solution. Here is some reading:
https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/how-many-new-trees-would-we-need-offset-our-carbon-emissions
You ask: Do you think if there was an organization willing to buy up land and making it protected, would even make a dent in our situation?
There are many organizations doing just this. Yes, it will make a dent, helping to preserve some habitats and species for whatever comes after us.
Thanks again for your very kind and thoughtful post.
Intensely loving living my days with the ones I love
‘While we are here, while we are among human beings, let us cultivate our humanity’ (Seneca, On Anger).
Exactly my sentiments! Thank you for writing this and for all you do on climate awareness!
Thanks for this. I’ve not come across another author who better explained what is in the hearts of “Doomers” like myself.
In 2009, Joe Romm’s Climate Progress site was a prominent hotbed of controversy between the we’re-done people & the we-can-still-do-this people, until Joe got tired of the rancor & took the comment section down. At that time I was in the later group, still hopeful. I helped organize EarthDay/Week 1970, stayed plugged in ever since and was not ready to give it up, still counting on a growing movement that would effectively cause a political & popular wakeup. Boy, was I wrong about that.
Doom was a word getting a lot of ink, especially if Guy McPherson was mentioned. So in one of the most heated threads I coined the word “doomer” as a pejorative. I think that was the seed of the usage, though I would not be surprised if others came up with it independently. It’s a pretty obvious jump from “doom”.
You may not speak for all doomers but you speak for me. I am now everything you describe. It’s been rough. I can’t not grieve deeply over the end of Nature; the end of so much beauty, the child of time & complexity; the chaos thats around the corner. But I am meeting it with resolve for all that needs to be done to save what can be saved and to help others with compassion. So, again, thanks. I don’t have a website but I’m on FB, Brian R Smith
Wow — thank you for this insightful reply, Brian! I would say that Catherine Ingram is very similar in her view, if you have not yet read her essay “Facing Extinction.” Getting away from GM is a big step in the doomer path, as NTHE is very easy — just assume everyone is going to die really soon and get it over with. But the hard part is that the path is most likely long and very painful and very sad.
Glad to meet you!
If not for this post I would have never realized I am a doomer. Finding such kinship here through the comment section. I believe Kolbert’s The Sixth Extinction was the beginning of my doomer beliefs. It was strengthened by extreme weather patterns in the eastern Delta region of India where I live with frequent cyclones, flash rains, heat waves, and phenological mismatch. The phenological mismatch of flowering trees was so glaring to me that I was quite amazed the others around me didn’t notice at all. My resentment and anger towards such ignorance turned to acceptance and silence in the last few years. Thank you Prof. Jacobson for penning this post. Are we members of the Doomer Society? I would very much like to be part of something like that.
This is a very beautiful essay. Often pessimistic positions and ‘doomer’ stances are associated with an angry misanthropy (which imo, is not unjustified position – we should be misanthropic) and presented as the byproduct of spiteful, damaged people. But this is an excellent example of the burden of knowledge ‘doomers’ bear against a tide of optimists who deny reality in favour of a delusional cheery view of the world. Have you read any David Benatar?
A more apt term than doomer is ‘realist.’ That is, a clear-eyed, honest assessment of our predicament — based on all the information that’s out there — results in a dire forecast for the future of complex life on this planet. As has been pointed out, the process of collapse has already commenced. The only question now is how quickly things will devolve and humans (and most other complex life forms) go extinct.
A butterfly only lives for 24 hours so it doesn’t need an extra day!! Great piece of writing. I’m still invested in holding fossil fuel corporations accountable for their murderous actions. I’m not going quietly!!
Just discovered they can live for up to a month.. that’s cheered me up! Such beautiful creatures deserve to be admired and enjoyed for longer than a day! 😹🦋
Monarchs even longer. Up to 8 months for some. Not very long, anyway you look at it.
Sadly, they were just put on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/159971/806727
I’m not confident in the inevitability of human extinction yet. Collapse? Yes. End of technology, intensive agriculture, civilization-building? Yes, and thank God. But definite extinction? I have not seen the proof. There may be a window to return to primitive ways and ve ecologically balanced… for a few of us… after a lot of turmoil.
I also found you through soft white underbelly.
Thank you a lot for sharing your thoughts. I always thought to be odd because I know nobody with a similar outlook and if I talk about the collapse with friends I could see they think I’m going weird or overly pessimistic. At the same time it feels like they have a gut feeling about what’s going to happen but want to ignore it. Through you sharing your thought I don’t feel as odd anymore.
I’m almost sixty and feel grateful to having grown up and living in mostly optimistic times but also a bit guilty ignoring the facts for too long and not acting accordingly.
What’s sad that my niece, 20, is into ecological activism and is slowly realizing that it’s too late. What bleak outlook on life if you’re young.
And a question, what’s you’re plan for you personally when the shit hits the fan?
I have about 2 months supplies here — water, rice and a few other things. Beyond that, no idea. I am in that huge 99.99% of people who don’t know how to survive with zero modern industrial civilization in existence.
Dr Jacobson, that was incredibly on-spot. Thank you.
Hi,
I saw you on SWU and I kinda liked many of the things you had to say.
I’m 66, about the same age as you. In the ’70’s and early ’80’s I was involved in, concerned about, various environmental issues. I got a degree in environmental enginering in 1980. I worked primarily on ground waterwater remediation and solid waste disposal issues, which are interrelated in many ways. Of course, I soon became disillusioned with my own efforts. Primarily my efforts resulted in a kind of sweeping the issues under the rug. A kind of cleaning up of, maybe hiding, the most obnoxious results of industry and consumerism. I was simply allowing, enabling, the system to continue. I was another cog in the machine, and it bothered me. I could go on in this vein, but I won’t…
In maybe the year 2000, I stumbled upon Jay Hanson and dieoff.org. Jay’s message hit me like a ton of bricks. I was devasted for a while, and, of course, I’ve been a Doomer, in one form or another, ever since. After many trials and tribulations, activist, prepper, survivalist, anger, denial, blame, etc., etc, you name it, I guess that I have arrived at point of a kind of calm acceptance. I guess, and I don’t want to claim, or imply, perfection in any manner, that I have accepted that humans are just going to do what they been designed to do, which is to consume the world to the best of their abilty. This is no different than any other creature out there. I’d say.
In adition to accepting humanity for what it is, I guess that I have learned to accept myself as part of this event, this phenomenon, that is sweeping over the Earth like a hoard of locusts. This is not inteneded as a perjorative. It just is what it is. I think it was Terrance McKenna who likened humanity to a “gene swarm” traveling through time and space. I’ve often thought this to be an apt analogy.
I also am “sad”, but that’s just part of being alive. It has little to do with being a Doomer, per se.
Best of luck you. Yours in doom.
Dave
Thank you for sharing, much appreciated!
Hi Eliot!
I enjoyed your post, and was wondering if you had any philosophical commitments in the background? It sounds like you are a consequentialist.
I am a professional philosopher, and I appreciate the depth of your insight! Glad to have you on planet earth!
Answer — not that I know about, nothing religious or political, though one could argue that the social constructs of Western civilization are a philosophical commitment for almost all of us.
I would say I lean more towards nihilist than consequentialist.
But I am not a professional philosopher and you will quickly get way over my head here, just hoping you don’t ask me a follow up question.
Thank you Dr. Eliot for your refreshingly clear comments and analyses.
Here is an associated thought which puts a subtle positive spin on the doom:
– Just like lichens, ants, and elephants…., Human activity has transformed, displaced, and blended the land, water and sky ….but at a toxic scale. We are agents of entropy, and our Work is nearly complete.
So we are soon to be retired, like so many others, from the eons-long list of resident species. It is hubris to believe that evolution was “intended” to end with Humans. Perhaps our modifications and transformations are setting the stage for the next evolutionary leap.
My father (1890-1976) was an engineer.
Toward the end of his life, even in the face of increasing evidence of runaway population growth and global pollution he never wavered from the belief that there was no problem that couldn’t be solved by the assiduous application of technology.
Perhaps it was grace that ended his life before he would have had to confront this misapprehension.
I, too, (1925-????) am an engineer.
At the end of my life, in the face of the now incontrovertible evidence of how things will end, I have become a doomer. Not in the sense that nothing *could* be done; but in the sense that nothing *will* be done.
As an individual I am by now powerless to effect change (plant a tree, buy an EV, ride my bike), other than to ensure that those in my circle really *understand what is happening*.
Unless one has the power actually to do something meaningful (e.g., the fossil fuel industry has such power), I think it is OK to be a doomer.
Thanks Eliot. And thanks for this comment, Dad. Appreciate your insights too on our weekly Sunday zooms…. I know you’re extremely bummed about what all of us will be up against down the road. You’re a 98-year old Doomer Zoomer 😀 xoxo
This is beautiful writing. I’d have to report though that hopelessness about the future of civilization is still exceedingly far from being mainstream, assuming mainstream means anything like the majority attitude.
Thank you, Brian!
(Pssst! It’s *lying*. *Lying* on the table.)
Fixed it, thanks!
Thanks for this wonderful writing. I felt it expressed what I have been thinking for a long time. To quote the English poet Philip Larkin, ‘I used to think it would outlast my time.’ Now I am not so sure. The oceans are heating up in a scary fashion and there are wild fires in places like Canada which haven’t had wildfires until recently. Unseasonable rains, storms and droughts are affecting wine producers from Bordeaux to New Zealand. What annoys me is that our UK politicians still trot out the mantra of ‘sustainable growth’ – the greatest lie of all in my view. If we are to survive, we need to go back to simpler lives – something like the 1950s but with modern dentistry. But we can’t or won’t and so survival is increasingly unlikely.
Thank you for your comment!
I completely agree about dentistry — and all modern medicine — arts/music/dance/sculpture/ — beyond that, it can all go.
Dear Eliot,
I’m following you on twitter and it’s interesting to get your updates on the latest bad news for sure.
However, I think your communication is not helpful. Certainly you must know that the majority of those who actually read your stuff already know how serious of a situation we’re in and are actually fighting hard to turn the tide. Telling them that it’s actually even worse than they imagined and how f*%$ed we all are is not making it better, they won’t discover their secret super power and work twice as hard. It’s actually hugely discouraging and likely leads to less positive action. Know your audience!
The fraction of your posts that actually address the causes of the situation or that point to actions that can make things better is shamingly small. If, like you said, doomism is not an excuse to do nothing and you mean it, then why don’t you tell truth to those who actually need to hear it, why don’t you get up and try to convince some republicans and conservatives, forge some unlikely alliances (below the surface of media attention, there’s actually a small but growing movement of conservatives in the UK and Germany at least that start to take the climate and environmental crises seriously), ask CEOs at the carbon majors to quit their job. Go from door to door if need be. Sure you’ll get a lot of hate and shit thrown at you, and maybe you’ve experienced that already. But so what? Grow a pair, matey.
Connecting with and being one of the people that get up everyday, again and again, to fight for a better future and for those who are already suffering, despite repeated failures, despite the hate and shit being thrown at you, despite the constant flow of bad news, despite the odds becoming smaller day by day, despite the losses already suffered – that is the only remedy for grief. Fighting and suffering all of this for the love of life in all its beauty and terror is the only thing I believe can make us truly proud to be human. And if it means fighting one more fraction (i.e. doomism) that drags us in the opposite direction – so be it. Bring it on then.
Don’t get me wrong, I’m not dismissive of your grief, panic, sadness and all the rest of it. I feel it, too. Millions, if not billions of people already share it. Nor am I saying you’re factually mistaken. I’m terrified of the thought that many of the coming generations will never experience beautiful beings butterflies and coral reefs, that we will have to struggle to get by on a daily basis, will fear for safety and survival. Thinking of it makes my heart ache and it feels like having lost a close family member. But there’s no point in wallowing in these emotions for the rest of our lives, is there? If the majority of humanity can still ignore the threat and mindlessly drive around in big cars, fly around the world and buy stuff like there’s no tomorrow, I can ignore the ridiculously small chance of succeeding and plough on with trying to save little bit of this beautiful planet.
The appeal of doomism is that it suggests you can accept the end of life as we know it, that you can somehow take the “observer perspective”, thereby emotionally distancing yourself from it. It won’t work. You and everyone else is part of this, you’re in this as a human being. No matter how big your car, your house or your bank account is. No one is safe. So do the human thing. If you’re grieving, get away from the keyboard, connect with people that share your grief, let your emotions out, cry a little (or a lot, whatever suits you). Know you’re not going through it alone. A great place for talking are [link removed] and I’m sure those exist in the US, too. And when you’ve got no more tears left – get back in the trenches. It doesn’t matter if you’ve tried before and it didn’t work. Do it again! Try another approach. Get up again, repeat. If it’s all over soon anyway, better spend the rest of your life fighting on the right side and make some friends with awesome human beings along the way. It may be hard and feelings of despair and grief will never leave you completely, but that’s alright and it doesn’t mean it’s without joy and fun. At the end of my life, it will give me satisfaction to have met the most inspiring and wonderful people along the journey and hopefully being able to say to my children – I’ve tried hard and did the my best. What more is there to a meaningful life?
Without that, just spreading doom smells suspiciously of actually enjoying the shitshow, adding oil to the fire and having a wank whilst watching.
All the best,
Dan
PS: I’m going to be a smart-ass here, but you’re wrong about the end of everything, particularly about the end of life. Take silverfish. If you’ve ever had one of these funny little guys in your bathroom, they have been around at least since the Devonian, possibly earlier, which means they have survived most of the mass extinction events that happened already. I take comfort in the thought that even if we fail, life will come back a few more times in who knows what unimaginable complexity and beauty before the show finally is over.
PS @ everyone else who reads this: Apologies for strong language (or not all if you’re one of the shitshow wankers).
I appreciate your post, thanks for sharing your perspective.
You write beautiful and compelling prose. Thank you.
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