The analogy of a “casino” to describe climate change related catastrophes has gained some recent traction, thanks mostly to Paul Beckwith’s frequent use of this terminology in his blog posts and YouTube videos. At first, the word “casino” seems to be an appropriate metaphor. “Casino” describes the apparently random way that fires, floods, droughts, heat waves and other climate-related catastrophes […]
For those who aren’t paying attention, one of the most catastrophic consequences of climate change is the impending “blue ocean event” or “BOE” (with thanks to Paul Beckwith for this terminology). A BOE is defined to be when the Arctic Ocean is covered by less than 1 million square kilometers of ice (the “extent” of the ice is < 1M […]
In this post, I list 78 current and future impacts of climate change, along with references for some of the more unexpected items. That list was compiled scouring the web along with suggestions and comments to a Twitter post I made. In retrospect, many of these items are redundant or speculative. And so, I refined that list down to 40 […]
This essay has stood the test of time. To quote Friedrich Nietzsche: "Hope in reality is the worst of all…
Fair question. Here are all the greenhouse gases with historical concentrations and projected out until 2500. https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3571/2020/
Thanks! Shame on NOAA for not making that clear.
My first article addresses this question. See "the third mistake" and it's fix.
This is confusing to me. Pre-industrial the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere was about 280ppm. But there was significant…
Complete cessation of burning fossil fuels is on the far side of Net Zero, and we're making very little progress…
Hi, Eliot. Thank you for this discussion. My big takeaway is 1.5 by 2027ish, 2.0 by 2035, and 2.5 by…
Andrew Glickson made three simple errors calculating CO2e. I refer you here: https://climatecasino.net/2024/08/the-long-and-winding-road-to-co2e/ You might want to ask him about…